current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0961 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.294 False
psi 0.1428 False
delta_h1 -1.2825 True
delta_h2 4.0295 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1.011 True
price 0.8363 True
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  4
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0961 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.294 False
psi 0.1428 False
delta_h1 -1.2825 True
delta_h2 4.0295 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1.011 True
price 0.8363 True
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
mshare 0.1022855 0.0011120376823730137
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.0035704243652960677
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.043744733879208283
grad2 1.0278653443479653 0.029202709708391558
grad3 1.0697815019489212 0.02576324389529853
grad4 1.0847290395285745 0.02521107182723259
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.00538635207333559
f =  141.30933173462904 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.02953504  1.01102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.11469137815521557
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822174141507886
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.42624190506877785
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0162161090240334
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.028909346922664
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0426818906477537
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8250358924368997
f =  83.46396990279379 , pars =  [-1.182523    4.02953504  1.01102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.11122515389866817
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822174139996735
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4309890758688387
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0162961053261232
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0288444509086678
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0421733089549676
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8219850710994958
f =  24.023317888681905 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.12953504  1.01102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10464297790607956
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9839096513903469
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.421543772305375
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0151089102740245
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0271855258197695
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0400918291825425
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8245281897188452
f =  593.2863662032767 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.02953504  1.11102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.09775311117865486
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822175101285607
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.5578601876516588
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150410239427208
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0251459319000384
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0314999307163668
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.9548058666668273
f =  607.9732540378891 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.02953504  1.01102276  0.93630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.12934874276609976
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822174108403815
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.3835312999504242
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0180235796345012
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0317773652051694
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0466903596684745
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8191016175930254
f =  257.59744331709703 , pars =  [-1.382523    4.02953504  1.01102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.11954494967374986
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822174140897793
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4151199934254283
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0173733062239079
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.03064428640208
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0451465967506106
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8217622837681982
f =  449.5029951715335 , pars =  [-1.282523    3.92953504  1.01102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.12543783803715008
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9803472025456912
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4449495013446413
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0167496347553466
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0299515483736001
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0441996674089375
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8269013392643578
f =  1698.3449510203359 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.02953504  0.91102276  0.83630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1396122552452423
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.982217403856985
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.31282051420011014
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0189654462900324
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0339523199464637
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.053279253266569
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.7023651052347161
f =  40.58911812486693 , pars =  [-1.282523    4.02953504  1.01102276  0.73630109]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.09950122912545285
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9822174160371436
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.5193289943907212
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0155403227714654
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0272801851985403
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0353729939464185
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8212833215783851
f =  234.4714622365631 , pars =  [-1.21314342  4.13985184  1.03685821  0.76987393]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.08750056844248899
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9840748060406141
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.5472268917516621
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0141282154755662
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.023581604293892
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0295404514976012
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8516336747715699
f =  26.36438649198798 , pars =  [-1.32457829  4.13688158  1.03220792  0.82118256]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10212873517767147
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9840274322911456
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4169424902712857
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0153609736137457
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.027338141083547
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0401697302412816
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8455956548055057
f =  27.999471947623906 , pars =  [-1.27446871  4.12035089  1.01249018  0.83850935]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10550564642383341
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9837611945940481
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.42052124465892826
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0147794782877464
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0264338201085628
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0394498741004032
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8239969488599742
f =  18.570358830209393 , pars =  [-1.2859449   4.14800728  1.02161258  0.84894716]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10334618948047473
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842041493899417
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.40879626896060167
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0163028705591624
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0287713335744684
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.04212541427445
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.833884986258552
f =  19.094401600401618 , pars =  [-1.29636282  4.13540492  1.02105063  0.83004394]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10348493382315645
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9840038250789448
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4155558774339542
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0153929828725066
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0275453544188011
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040619340978157
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.831498970407063
f =  19.50312330475382 , pars =  [-1.2867258   4.15256393  1.01808274  0.84081283]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10246756749751837
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842759613918504
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4217941253554035
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0147854040976414
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0264116743672216
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.038946947552119
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8323640960559351
f =  23.49015615279589 , pars =  [-1.2914604   4.15098431  1.01560142  0.85390524]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10485396435598018
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842511022281071
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4082615565435421
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0155219822366977
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.027844116360744
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0412987562013354
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8256593434896078
f =  27.63804518331686 , pars =  [-1.2871399   4.13971138  1.02089255  0.85435379]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10545603194405921
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9840725634581547
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.42347259532620474
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0148208121920128
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0262445922711212
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0387691480023609
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8331244192708352
f =  18.68145527969885 , pars =  [-1.27711059  4.15126029  1.01892728  0.85098729]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1029735460623911
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842554486935972
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41480295575569204
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152000850449836
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0272743781725575
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040295046970895
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8309279693052257
f =  25.219718300446342 , pars =  [-1.29494259  4.14917616  1.0256549   0.84779175]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1028366728471819
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842226031309402
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4238134204274845
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150187837480114
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0266842262906126
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0391064389127818
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8429131619187693
f =  20.28336213398955 , pars =  [-1.28156983  4.14275971  1.02035244  0.84175454]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10331723053794765
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.984121041475036
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4217467506861148
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0149163981942153
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0266864253448567
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.039413545457094
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8338505803712324
f =  20.795509059278974 , pars =  [-1.29051193  4.14243796  1.02116438  0.84202444]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10397255352547372
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841159319932553
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4145000783265175
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.015032205948924
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0267777248756773
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0397632246563475
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8332055852142525
f =  20.32614702967553 , pars =  [-1.2843687   4.15703551  1.02116556  0.85292294]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1031530054090189
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9843461161745723
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4143452631095628
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0146306674972325
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0262139478500634
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0391955639882593
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8356151043135872
f =  20.05432854166781 , pars =  [-1.28459559  4.14900706  1.01807417  0.84666553]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10324500828856993
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842199323607892
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.42220628747231864
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.014794956122148
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0265830361591743
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0393192082208542
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8282531254728143
f =  20.553559418462637 , pars =  [-1.28597585  4.14895537  1.0219282   0.84897058]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10392482113320578
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842191183418174
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4145841427270418
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152650779532442
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0272934369994349
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040302357235084
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8324779186114308
f =  18.812484580594674 , pars =  [-1.28525098  4.1463607   1.02026406  0.84930123]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.103571800470277
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841781187038849
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.40929196964628695
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.016008658299982
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0285025452294108
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0418064498043629
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.832603304432723
f =  19.750968651304035 , pars =  [-1.28690274  4.1480116   1.0218742   0.84882852]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1033634443802249
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842042176979461
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41175324423258935
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.014888167710167
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0265762939336156
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.039707601729994
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8347064784598768
f =  20.074897937508535 , pars =  [-1.28531155  4.14745274  1.02190716  0.84849486]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10291224169825862
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841953873521367
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.420226384697979
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0147473581800184
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0264934364905818
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0392303588160052
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8349262330696678
f =  20.443651305334093 , pars =  [-1.28639184  4.14829489  1.02098503  0.84951612]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10352688860717324
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842086916573949
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4208421887135353
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0151879724534074
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0269372268315393
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0395445607215856
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8328906929496227
f =  19.991075673128314 , pars =  [-1.28535272  4.14756159  1.02132326  0.84955295]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10319193107383197
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.984197107703552
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4192341701269743
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.014767649180128
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0265508901633738
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0393562072088636
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8338699091498054
f =  19.49577242032515 , pars =  [-1.28631873  4.14752887  1.02137893  0.84818769]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10310949280657258
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841965907076424
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4180942877238241
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0151005489324199
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0269906149630865
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.039779668438776
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8332744747206564
f =  21.119022619037047 , pars =  [-1.28600473  4.14735527  1.0208596   0.84888132]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10359689353804187
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841938470407128
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4190588751252123
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0147967252844832
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0264343521121075
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0390803802187487
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8351093032623432
f =  19.13024923357425 , pars =  [-1.28559124  4.14836976  1.02091373  0.84844205]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10334938926873932
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842098739804974
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41187843072421687
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0151237662255639
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0271520794646023
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040250077500419
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8328759853292622
f =  21.124311762897637 , pars =  [-1.28609426  4.14764299  1.0224708   0.84927645]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1036392930224511
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9841983943100944
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4173784159140289
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150984661045102
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0270018214089116
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0398905893017152
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8358418924709328
f =  23.480496903140544 , pars =  [-1.28599775  4.14810726  1.02160377  0.8484602 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10514518942708138
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842057284500508
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.3940323733504631
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150039364091188
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0265353354353461
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0393477950865417
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8322970222584409
f =  20.78833897594772 , pars =  [-1.2859168   4.14809411  1.02165212  0.8489575 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10410580865559861
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842055209810724
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41239570179554974
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152583652206757
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0272674722782962
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0403159713714005
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8321472264174021
f =  20.190774547343675 , pars =  [-1.28601461  4.14778223  1.02154339  0.84899414]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10406134662398364
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842005941742353
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4019437372235174
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150679481844078
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0266857531262024
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0389988326593416
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8331393862251526
f =  20.905780293084256 , pars =  [-1.28586303  4.14796685  1.02163638  0.84891406]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10376080139792801
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842035108854144
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4183771403370601
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0153733389056216
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0274402444128097
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0401932249286558
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8343960484888534
f =  19.425692817454202 , pars =  [-1.28602532  4.14801763  1.02155732  0.84896647]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10340340165847771
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842043130166809
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4160973741589958
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0154312249980881
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0274672678189847
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0403303801047097
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8321129893769817
f =  21.374465411873633 , pars =  [-1.28589652  4.14803302  1.0215292   0.84894047]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10427849077360266
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842045557868251
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4126371500513818
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152590138367756
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0271722600748816
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040308592495806
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.832286896398154
f =  19.66372059434596 , pars =  [-1.28600176  4.14796491  1.02167328  0.84898304]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.1029436575892388
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842034803984165
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41636640500859257
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0150537939194837
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0270096031983111
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0399605789821769
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8352209494042678
f =  23.060874871262346 , pars =  [-1.2858997   4.14798535  1.02159847  0.84903246]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10471827323440319
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842038030145195
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4110822298365063
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152375734185572
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0267153855401776
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0386062859569754
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.83193675610237
f =  19.573888511843794 , pars =  [-1.28600767  4.14800102  1.02162629  0.84887079]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10379385451959466
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842040502662514
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4085111378505321
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0152417583904132
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0272735143895348
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.04070519161721
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8323491968124526
f =  21.151105487922568 , pars =  [-1.28596188  4.14791623  1.02157492  0.84894915]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10412309612366427
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842027106802456
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.4156453005746637
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.0153361845546671
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.02736598893621
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.040322713096219
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8323510757418834
f =  20.846598790794456 , pars =  [-1.28599728  4.14803449  1.0216309   0.84893683]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.1022855 0.10405666983551341
trans_fromgood 0.97412980176419 0.9842045787680018
trans_frombad 0.3249539275699157 0.41466406221634444
grad2 1.0278653443479653 1.015263516087128
grad3 1.0697815019489212 1.0273079716600493
grad4 1.0847290395285745 1.0403590220310335
tfp 0.8301558557492001 0.8321748499676025
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.096055  False       NaN
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.294007  False       NaN
psi       0.142842  False       NaN
delta_h1 -1.285945   True  0.142362
delta_h2  4.148007   True  0.079894
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.021613   True  0.217370
price     0.849947   True  0.012929
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
